Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.001706 0.001778 0.001853 0.001936 0.002027 0.002123 0.002232
2025-07-13 0.001543 0.001640 0.001744 0.001865 0.002003 0.002156 0.002343
2025-07-20 0.001460 0.001575 0.001703 0.001857 0.002039 0.002252 0.002523
2025-07-27 0.001407 0.001537 0.001685 0.001869 0.002094 0.002367 0.002736
2025-08-03 0.001351 0.001490 0.001651 0.001855 0.002113 0.002438 0.002895
2025-08-10 0.001317 0.001466 0.001642 0.001869 0.002166 0.002552 0.003122
2025-08-17 0.001277 0.001431 0.001616 0.001859 0.002184 0.002619 0.003290
2025-08-24 0.001237 0.001394 0.001585 0.001840 0.002186 0.002664 0.003428
2025-08-31 0.001225 0.001391 0.001596 0.001875 0.002264 0.002820 0.003760
2025-09-07 0.001203 0.001374 0.001587 0.001882 0.002303 0.002922 0.004018
2025-09-14 0.001172 0.001344 0.001560 0.001863 0.002301 0.002961 0.004172
2025-09-21 0.001140 0.001311 0.001528 0.001835 0.002285 0.002975 0.004281
2025-09-28 0.001115 0.001288 0.001508 0.001823 0.002293 0.003030 0.004486
2025-10-05 0.001072 0.001240 0.001454 0.001762 0.002222 0.002950 0.004406
2025-10-12 0.001053 0.001222 0.001439 0.001755 0.002235 0.003013 0.004634
2025-10-19 0.001041 0.001213 0.001437 0.001766 0.002275 0.003125 0.004995
2025-10-26 0.001021 0.001194 0.001419 0.001754 0.002279 0.003171 0.005217
2025-11-02 0.001012 0.001187 0.001419 0.001767 0.002322 0.003296 0.005666
2025-11-09 0.000995 0.001171 0.001405 0.001758 0.002329 0.003352 0.005954
2025-11-16 0.000977 0.001152 0.001385 0.001741 0.002321 0.003376 0.006162
2025-11-23 0.000975 0.001155 0.001397 0.001772 0.002397 0.003580 0.006991
2025-11-30 0.000966 0.001147 0.001394 0.001779 0.002431 0.003699 0.007619
2025-12-07 0.000949 0.001130 0.001376 0.001761 0.002420 0.003722 0.007908